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Edge2 min read

Analysis on demand: pick the match, we'll model it

The board covers the matches we choose. On the Edge tier you choose — name the fixtures that matter to you and the model runs a full read on each. Here's how it works.

Momus
Published 20 July 2026

The desk covers the matches we put on the board — the highest-interest fixtures across the leagues we model. But the match you care about most isn't always the one everyone's watching. Maybe it's your club in a mid-table game, a lower-league tie, or a fixture you've got a read on and want to test against a model. That's what the Edge tier is for: you pick, the model runs.

You choose the fixtures

On Edge you're not limited to the curated board. You name the matches — a set number each month — and the model produces the same full read it gives any headline fixture: the 1X2 probabilities, the correct-score grid, expected goals, the derived markets, and the model-versus-market comparison. Analysis on your agenda, not just ours.

The same engine, aimed where you want it

There's no "lite" version for on-demand requests. A match you ask for goes through the identical Dixon-Coles model as everything on the board, and it's graded against the result the same way, in the open. The only thing that changes is who chose the fixture — you.

That matters because the interesting edges often hide in the matches nobody's modelling. The market is sharpest on the big games and thinner on the rest; a disciplined read on an overlooked fixture is exactly where a model can earn its keep — the value idea, pointed wherever you like.

Plus the whole record behind it

Edge also opens the full history: every graded match in the results archive and the complete value board, not just the teaser. You get the model's on-demand attention and the receipts to judge whether that attention is worth having.

Still analysis, not tips

On-demand doesn't mean on-request certainty. You pick the match; the model shows you its full read and where it disagrees with the market; the call stays yours. That's the deal on every tier — Edge just lets you decide which matches get the treatment. See how it fits with everything else, or start free and upgrade when you want to choose the card.

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Every fixture, fully modelled — the correct-score grid, the derived markets, and the written read.

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