BundesligaSat 5 Sept
— The read
The model's read leans to RB Leipzig (44.5%), with the 1X2 splitting 30.3% / 25.2% / 44.5% home/draw/away. Two baselines sit behind it — the de-vigged market (24/23/53).
Model pick
RLE · 44%
Edge vs market
-9pp
Confidence
Low
Model prediction · 1X2
1 · WBR
30%
X · Draw
25%
2 · RLE
44%
Modal model market implied
Outcome
Model
Market
Edge
1 · WBR
30%
24%
+7pp
X · Draw
25%
23%
+2pp
2 · RLE
44%
53%
-9pp
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