BundesligaSat 5 Sept
— The read
The model's read leans to SC Paderborn 07 (46.1%), with the 1X2 splitting 46.1% / 36.9% / 16.9% home/draw/away. Two baselines sit behind it — the de-vigged market (26/26/49).
Model pick
P07 · 46%
Edge vs market
+20pp
Confidence
Medium
Model prediction · 1X2
1 · P07
46%
X · Draw
37%
2 · FRE
17%
Modal model market implied
Outcome
Model
Market
Edge
1 · P07
46%
26%
+20pp
X · Draw
37%
26%
+11pp
2 · FRE
17%
49%
-32pp
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