UEFA Champions LeagueTue 8 Sept
— The read
The model's read leans to Real Madrid (45.6%), with the 1X2 splitting 45.6% / 24.6% / 29.8% home/draw/away. Two baselines sit behind it — the de-vigged market (60/21/19).
Model pick
RMA · 46%
Edge vs market
-14pp
Confidence
Medium
Model prediction · 1X2
1 · RMA
46%
X · Draw
25%
2 · INT
30%
Modal model market implied
Outcome
Model
Market
Edge
1 · RMA
46%
60%
-14pp
X · Draw
25%
21%
+4pp
2 · INT
30%
19%
+11pp
Read one on us — free
The full Dixon-Coles score grid, expected goals, every derived market and the dossier — one match free with an account.
Start free →