UEFA Champions LeagueWed 9 Sept
— The read
The model's read leans to Arsenal (57.1%), with the 1X2 splitting 16.1% / 26.8% / 57.1% home/draw/away. Two baselines sit behind it — the de-vigged market (20/26/54).
Model pick
ARS · 57%
Edge vs market
+3pp
Confidence
High
Model prediction · 1X2
1 · NAP
16%
X · Draw
27%
2 · ARS
57%
Modal model market implied
Outcome
Model
Market
Edge
1 · NAP
16%
20%
-4pp
X · Draw
27%
26%
+1pp
2 · ARS
57%
54%
+3pp
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