UEFA Champions LeagueTue 8 Sept
— The read
The model's read leans to Lille (48.5%), with the 1X2 splitting 48.5% / 27.6% / 24.0% home/draw/away. Two baselines sit behind it — the de-vigged market (43/27/30).
Model pick
LIL · 48%
Edge vs market
+5pp
Confidence
Medium
Model prediction · 1X2
1 · LIL
48%
X · Draw
28%
2 · RBE
24%
Modal model market implied
Outcome
Model
Market
Edge
1 · LIL
48%
43%
+5pp
X · Draw
28%
27%
+1pp
2 · RBE
24%
30%
-6pp
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