Ligue 1Sat 5 Sept
— The read
The model's read leans to Lens (58.0%), with the 1X2 splitting 58.0% / 22.8% / 19.2% home/draw/away. Two baselines sit behind it — the de-vigged market (66/20/14).
Model pick
LEN · 58%
Edge vs market
-7pp
Confidence
High
Model prediction · 1X2
1 · LEN
58%
X · Draw
23%
2 · LOR
19%
Modal model market implied
Outcome
Model
Market
Edge
1 · LEN
58%
66%
-7pp
X · Draw
23%
20%
+3pp
2 · LOR
19%
14%
+5pp
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