Premier LeagueSat 5 Sept
— The read
The model's read leans to Fulham (38.2%), with the 1X2 splitting 38.2% / 29.2% / 32.6% home/draw/away. Two baselines sit behind it — the de-vigged market (43/29/28).
Model pick
FUL · 38%
Edge vs market
-5pp
Confidence
Low
Model prediction · 1X2
1 · FUL
38%
X · Draw
29%
2 · CPA
33%
Modal model market implied
Outcome
Model
Market
Edge
1 · FUL
38%
43%
-5pp
X · Draw
29%
29%
+1pp
2 · CPA
33%
28%
+4pp
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