Serie ASat 5 Sept
— The read
The model's read leans to Fiorentina (49.6%), with the 1X2 splitting 49.6% / 25.2% / 25.2% home/draw/away. Two baselines sit behind it — the de-vigged market (49/28/23).
Model pick
FIO · 50%
Edge vs market
+1pp
Confidence
Medium
Model prediction · 1X2
1 · FIO
50%
X · Draw
25%
2 · TOR
25%
Modal model market implied
Outcome
Model
Market
Edge
1 · FIO
50%
49%
+1pp
X · Draw
25%
28%
-3pp
2 · TOR
25%
23%
+2pp
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