La LigaMon 7 Sept
— The read
The model's read leans to Elche (40.4%), with the 1X2 splitting 40.4% / 24.3% / 35.3% home/draw/away. Two baselines sit behind it — the de-vigged market (29/28/43).
Model pick
ELC · 40%
Edge vs market
+11pp
Confidence
Low
Model prediction · 1X2
1 · ELC
40%
X · Draw
24%
2 · RSO
35%
Modal model market implied
Outcome
Model
Market
Edge
1 · ELC
40%
29%
+11pp
X · Draw
24%
28%
-4pp
2 · RSO
35%
43%
-8pp
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