UEFA Champions LeagueTue 8 Sept
— The read
The model's read leans to Aston Villa (45.9%), with the 1X2 splitting 29.9% / 24.1% / 45.9% home/draw/away. Two baselines sit behind it — the de-vigged market (35/26/39).
Model pick
AVI · 46%
Edge vs market
+7pp
Confidence
Medium
Model prediction · 1X2
1 · CBR
30%
X · Draw
24%
2 · AVI
46%
Modal model market implied
Outcome
Model
Market
Edge
1 · CBR
30%
35%
-5pp
X · Draw
24%
26%
-2pp
2 · AVI
46%
39%
+7pp
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