Premier LeagueSat 5 Sept
— The read
The model's read leans to Brentford (50.2%), with the 1X2 splitting 50.2% / 27.4% / 22.4% home/draw/away. Two baselines sit behind it — the de-vigged market (54/25/20).
Model pick
BRE · 50%
Edge vs market
-4pp
Confidence
Medium
Model prediction · 1X2
1 · BRE
50%
X · Draw
27%
2 · SUN
22%
Modal model market implied
Outcome
Model
Market
Edge
1 · BRE
50%
54%
-4pp
X · Draw
27%
25%
+2pp
2 · SUN
22%
20%
+2pp
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