Serie ASun 6 Sept
— The read
The model's read leans to Bologna (49.9%), with the 1X2 splitting 49.9% / 25.8% / 24.4% home/draw/away. Two baselines sit behind it — the de-vigged market (46/29/25).
Model pick
BOL · 50%
Edge vs market
+4pp
Confidence
Medium
Model prediction · 1X2
1 · BOL
50%
X · Draw
26%
2 · SAS
24%
Modal model market implied
Outcome
Model
Market
Edge
1 · BOL
50%
46%
+4pp
X · Draw
26%
29%
-3pp
2 · SAS
24%
25%
-1pp
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