BundesligaSat 5 Sept
— The read
The model's read leans to Bayer Leverkusen (64.9%), with the 1X2 splitting 64.9% / 20.5% / 14.6% home/draw/away. Two baselines sit behind it — the de-vigged market (66/19/15).
Model pick
BLE · 65%
Edge vs market
-1pp
Confidence
High
Model prediction · 1X2
1 · BLE
65%
X · Draw
21%
2 · UBE
15%
Modal model market implied
Outcome
Model
Market
Edge
1 · BLE
65%
66%
-1pp
X · Draw
21%
19%
+2pp
2 · UBE
15%
15%
-1pp
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