Major League SoccerSat 25 Jul
NYO
New York City FC
Home
VS
Chicago Fire
Away
CFI
— The read
The model's read leans to New York City FC (42.5%), with the 1X2 splitting 42.5% / 26.0% / 31.6% home/draw/away. Two baselines sit behind it — the de-vigged market (41/26/33).
Model pick
NYO · 42%
Edge vs market
+1pp
Confidence
Low
Model prediction · 1X2
1 · NYO
42%
X · Draw
26%
2 · CFI
32%
Modal model market implied
Outcome
Model
Market
Edge
1 · NYO
42%
41%
+1pp
X · Draw
26%
26%
0pp
2 · CFI
32%
33%
-2pp
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