World Cup

France vs England

Match analysis

Sat 18 Jul

The model's most likely outcome is a France win at 53%. Momus's full written read, the correct-score grid and the derived markets are inside.

Model prediction

France win53%

Draw24%

England win23%

The model's most likely outcome is a France win at 53%. These are model probabilities — analysis, not a betting tip.

See the full model read.

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