Serie AWed 2 Sept
— The read
The model's read leans to Flamengo (66.4%), with the 1X2 splitting 66.4% / 21.0% / 12.6% home/draw/away. Two baselines sit behind it — the de-vigged market (74/16/10).
Model pick
FLA · 66%
Edge vs market
-8pp
Confidence
High
Model prediction · 1X2
1 · FLA
66%
X · Draw
21%
2 · MIR
13%
Modal model market implied
Outcome
Model
Market
Edge
1 · FLA
66%
74%
-8pp
X · Draw
21%
16%
+5pp
2 · MIR
13%
10%
+3pp
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