Major League SoccerSat 25 Jul
DUN
DC United
Home
VS
Toronto FC
Away
TOR
— The read
The model's read leans to DC United (49.4%), with the 1X2 splitting 49.4% / 24.8% / 25.9% home/draw/away. Two baselines sit behind it — the de-vigged market (46/26/28).
Model pick
DUN · 49%
Edge vs market
+3pp
Confidence
Medium
Model prediction · 1X2
1 · DUN
49%
X · Draw
25%
2 · TOR
26%
Modal model market implied
Outcome
Model
Market
Edge
1 · DUN
49%
46%
+3pp
X · Draw
25%
26%
-1pp
2 · TOR
26%
28%
-2pp
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