Serie ASun 26 Jul
— The read
The model's read leans to Cruzeiro (47.2%), with the 1X2 splitting 47.2% / 22.5% / 30.3% home/draw/away. Two baselines sit behind it — the de-vigged market (54/25/21).
Model pick
CRU · 47%
Edge vs market
-6pp
Confidence
Medium
Model prediction · 1X2
1 · CRU
47%
X · Draw
23%
2 · BOT
30%
Modal model market implied
Outcome
Model
Market
Edge
1 · CRU
47%
54%
-6pp
X · Draw
23%
25%
-3pp
2 · BOT
30%
21%
+9pp
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