Serie AFri 31 Jul
— The read
The model's read leans to Coritiba (35.3%), with the 1X2 splitting 35.3% / 30.2% / 34.5% home/draw/away. Two baselines sit behind it — the de-vigged market (28/29/43).
Model pick
COR · 35%
Edge vs market
+7pp
Confidence
Low
Model prediction · 1X2
1 · COR
35%
X · Draw
30%
2 · CRU
35%
Modal model market implied
Outcome
Model
Market
Edge
1 · COR
35%
28%
+7pp
X · Draw
30%
29%
+1pp
2 · CRU
35%
43%
-8pp
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