Serie AThu 30 Jul
— The read
The model's read leans to Corinthians (38.4%), with the 1X2 splitting 38.4% / 31.1% / 30.5% home/draw/away. Two baselines sit behind it — the de-vigged market (50/29/21).
Model pick
COR · 38%
Edge vs market
-11pp
Confidence
Low
Model prediction · 1X2
1 · COR
38%
X · Draw
31%
2 · APA
30%
Modal model market implied
Outcome
Model
Market
Edge
1 · COR
38%
50%
-11pp
X · Draw
31%
29%
+2pp
2 · APA
30%
21%
+9pp
Read one on us — free
The full Dixon-Coles score grid, expected goals, every derived market and the dossier — one match free with an account.
Start free →