Serie ASun 26 Jul
— The read
The model's read leans to Bahia (43.1%), with the 1X2 splitting 43.1% / 30.3% / 26.7% home/draw/away. Two baselines sit behind it — the de-vigged market (45/28/27).
Model pick
BAH · 43%
Edge vs market
-2pp
Confidence
Low
Model prediction · 1X2
1 · BAH
43%
X · Draw
30%
2 · COR
27%
Modal model market implied
Outcome
Model
Market
Edge
1 · BAH
43%
45%
-2pp
X · Draw
30%
28%
+2pp
2 · COR
27%
27%
0pp
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